{"id":682,"date":"2026-07-11T11:05:42","date_gmt":"2026-07-11T11:05:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=682"},"modified":"2026-07-11T11:05:42","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T11:05:42","slug":"does-kamala-harris-really-have-a-shot-in-2028","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=682","title":{"rendered":"Does Kamala Harris really have a shot in 2028?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<p>Two years after her whirlwind ascension to Democratic presidential nominee, former Vice President Kamala Harris is thinking about\u2026running for president again. Not doing it \u2014 yet \u2014 but laying the groundwork in case she does.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=680\">The US was overconfident before the war. Iran may be overconfident now.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>She\u2019s done the book tour through the early states. She\u2019s taken the meeting with New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and dialed up pro-Palestinian organizers to feel out the room. And she\u2019s leading many  \u2014 ahead of California Gov. Gavin Newsom, ahead of former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg or Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, ahead of the field. But she remains noncommittal to the prospect about running in 2028 and is yet to weigh in on the Democratic party\u2019s most pressing ideological fights.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>It\u2019s an odd situation: The candidate is unclear if she wants to run \u2014 and the party seems unclear if they want her to.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>So last week, I talked with Democratic Party officials, donors, and South Carolina voters for our last episode of <em>America, Actually<\/em> to figure out whether Harris has a lane for another presidential bid \u2014 and whether it\u2019s one she actually wants.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Here\u2019s what I learned:<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<h2><strong>The Harris camp treats 2024 as an anomaly<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>The case from her inner circle is that the 2024 presidential election against President Donald Trump simply doesn\u2019t count. To start, President Joe Biden dropped out in July \u2014 under pressure from virtually the entire Democratic Party \u2014 and left her just 107 days to mount a campaign.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>And, then, there were the multiple assassination attempts against Trump, including one that resulted in an indelible image of the bloodied candidate pumping his fist in a knot of Secret Service agents. As one Harris surrogate put it to me: \u201cI think Jesus Christ would\u2019ve lost in 2024 after the assassination attempt.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>It\u2019s a real argument, but it\u2019s also exactly the argument a team makes once it has decided the loss wasn\u2019t about the candidate. I\u2019m not sure the rest of the party agree. (Also, she did run for the nomination in 2020 and dropped out in late 2019, before the first primary contest.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<h2><strong>The donor class may be ready to turn the page<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>I called John Morgan, a Florida mega-donor who\u2019s raised tens of millions for Democrats going back to the Clinton years. He doesn\u2019t want Harris to run, but, even more, he said that he thinks the money won\u2019t materialize and that she and Newsom would be cannibalizing the same California checkbooks. He also raised her ties to the Biden administration. According to Morgan, the entire Biden era needs what he called \u2014 and I\u2019m quoting the man \u2014 a \u201cBye Bye Biden\u201d sendoff.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=678\">Trump purges an election agency<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Morgan also added plenty of donors feel this way, and almost none will say it out loud, because \u201cpeople think to say no to her, they could be labeled racist, and they don\u2019t want that, \u2018cause they\u2019re Democrats,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Oof.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div>\n<h2><strong>Nobody has actually replaced her \u2014 and that\u2019s the real story<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Here\u2019s one where the Harris team has a point. No one has yet supplanted her with the two groups that anchor the Democratic base: Black voters and women. To this moment, that bond holds. I felt it at a Juneteenth picnic in North Charleston, where \u201cYes, she should run\u201d won our little yes-bucket, no-bucket poll. A few other responses we got: \u201cThird time\u2019s a charm.\u201d \u201cWe need women.\u201d \u201cIt was stolen from her the first time.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>But the fuller conversations were more nuanced than any topline number. There\u2019s a generational split \u2014 younger voters are raising her prosecutor record and her posture on Gaza, with one telling me she \u201cwas locking us up until she needed our vote.\u201d There\u2019s a gender split \u2014 men at the picnic were ready to run back \u201ca competent white man\u201d before another woman, and women insisted that the door just needs one more good push.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Beneath nearly all of it, one word kept surfacing, from the yeses and the nos alike: <em>fresh.<\/em> People want a fresh face. Some want a fresher Harris. Some just want somebody new.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>The Black vote \u2014 particularly in the South \u2014 has been the great consolidating force in modern Democratic primaries: the firewall that lined up behind Hillary Clinton in 2016, that rescued Joe Biden in South Carolina in 2020, that ultimately made Obama.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>Democrats run orderly primaries when that group decides early and moves together. A Black electorate that\u2019s split by age, split by gender, and openly shopping for a new face isn\u2019t just a headache for Harris; it\u2019s a break from decades of how this party has chosen a nominee. That\u2019s not really a story about Kamala Harris. It\u2019s a story about a party that doesn\u2019t know what it wants \u2014 and a 2028 presidential cycle that\u2019s going to be a good deal messier than the polling makes it look.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p><em>As always, there\u2019s much more in the full show, so <\/em><em>listen to America, Actually<\/em><em> wherever you get your podcasts or watch it on <\/em><em>Vox\u2019s YouTube channel<\/em><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=676\">How to protect yourself from the diarrhea-causing parasite wreaking havoc across the US<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div><span>See More<!-- -->:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>America, Actually<\/li>\n<li>Kamala Harris<\/li>\n<li>Podcasts<\/li>\n<li>Politics<\/li>\n<li>Video<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The case for \u2014 and against \u2014 another Harris presidential campaign.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":681,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-interesting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Does Kamala Harris really have a shot in 2028? 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