{"id":533,"date":"2026-06-30T10:37:28","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T10:37:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=533"},"modified":"2026-06-30T10:37:28","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T10:37:28","slug":"are-moderate-democrats-washed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/americanlivingreport.com\/?p=533","title":{"rendered":"Are moderate Democrats washed?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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A year ago, the hottest idea in Democratic circles was \u201cabundance\u201d \u2014 a growth-friendly agenda with centrist appeal that would help the party prove it was capable of shoving aside special interests and governing again.<\/p>\n

Read more The organ donation boom complicating the boundary between life and death<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Fast-forward a year. Today, in primary after primary, the far left is on the march. Last week\u2019s victories for socialist candidates against the establishment in New York\u2019s Democratic primaries sent centrists into alarm and despair.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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What happened? In a vacuum, leftist primary wins in deep-blue urban districts might not mean much \u2014 and traditional establishment figures keep winning many primaries elsewhere. But New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani and other high-profile socialists have been enormously successful at winning attention and steering the public discourse \u2014 and there are still more opportunities, including Tuesday\u2019s primaries in Colorado, for the left to build on their momentum.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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More importantly, the results seemed to confirm a shift that has happened gradually over the past year \u2014 that energy, excitement, and attention have moved away from centrist ideas about how to reform the Democratic Party, and gone instead to the left. Around the country, insurgent candidates have found a repeatable formula of issues, endorsers, and small-donor networks that moderates have yet to consistently match.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cI would say Matt Yglesias\u2019s Substack is the only place where 10,000 centrist Democrats are paying dues every month,\u201d Liam Kerr, co-founder of the centrist group WelcomePAC, told me, referring to the blogger who has urged the party to moderate. By contrast, Kerr pointed to what he saw as the left\u2019s superior organization, which has enabled it to contact, persuade, and turn out voters in major races.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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This isn\u2019t how it all looked just a year ago, when many center and center-left Democrats had united around abundance as an optimistic, attention-grabbing vision for the party\u2019s future.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The idea \u2014 inspired by the bestselling book by journalists Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson \u2014 was that by cutting through red tape, being less beholden to interest groups, and helping unleash the private sector, Democrats could actually make voters\u2019 lives better, delivering abundant housing, clean energy, and new infrastructure. (Both Klein and Yglesias are Vox co-founders, and departed this publication in 2020.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cAbundance\u201d moved beyond the book to become a factional rallying cry for many Democratic commentators, advocates, and operatives who were dissatisfied with their party\u2019s establishment, but skeptical of far-left solutions. They faced criticism from the left\u2019s economic populists, who argued they were not focused enough on taking on wealth and corporate power.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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A spirited public debate ensued, and by June of last year, a three-way battle for the Democratic future was underway: the left versus the establishment versus those on the center-left who had flocked to Abundance.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Now, that has collapsed to a two-sided contest: the left versus the establishment. Ideas from Abundance<\/em> have been adopted by figures on both of those sides \u2014 including Mamdani and California Gov. Gavin Newsom. But public attention and debate has shifted to other issues \u2014 such as Israel-Gaza \u2014 and the centrists have been left unmoored, without a clear cause to mobilize around.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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So how did it happen?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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How a burgeoning Democratic debate over cultural issues became one about Abundance instead<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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In the immediate aftermath of former Vice President Kamala Harris\u2019s defeat in 2024, Democrats engaged in vigorous hand-wringing and finger-pointing about what went wrong.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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One critique that quickly gained steam was that Harris, and the party generally, had gone too far left \u2014 that on issues like immigration and trans rights, Democrats had become too beholden to the progressive advocate nonprofits known colloquially as \u201cthe groups,\u201d had lost touch with the median voter, and needed to change course. Yet no wrenching fight about whether the party should moderate ended up happening, as a largely unstated consensus soon emerged that Democrats should quietly back away from some \u201cpeak woke\u201d positions while shifting attention to other issues.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The factional fight that did break out turned out to be over Abundance, <\/em>released in March 2025. The book was a sunny manifesto about how Democrats needed to learn to get big, positive things done again \u2014 and a critique of the Biden administration and blue-state Democrats for failing to do that.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Because part of Klein and Thompson\u2019s critique involved \u201cthe groups,\u201d who they said often impeded action; and because Abundance<\/em> viewed economic growth as a goal and did not see business as the enemy; various funders, nonprofits, and advocates coalesced around it. It became essentially the moderates\u2019 cause c\u00e9l\u00e8bre, discussed at conferences and in many podcasts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Economic populists on the left criticized Abundance harshly, calling it a stalking horse for a billionaire agenda. But many leading Democrats embraced the ideas \u2014 former President Barack Obama praised \u201cthe quote-unquote abundance agenda,\u201d and Newsom signed some related housing reforms into law last summer.<\/p>\n

Read more Welcome to the July issue of The Highlight<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Even Mamdani \u2014 fresh off his rise from obscurity to real contention for the Democratic nomination for mayor of New York City \u2014 said he liked it.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cOne of the most compelling things that I think abundance has brought into the larger conversation is how we can make government more effective, how we can actually deliver on the very ideas that we are so passionate about,\u201d Mamdani told Thompson last June. (\u201cMamdani was deft,\u201d the socialist commentator Nathan J. Robinson wrote afterward. \u201cHe co-opted the centrist phrase \u2018abundance\u2019 and used it to refer to his affordability agenda.\u201d)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Why centrist Democrats have struggled in the past year<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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The book Abundance<\/em> was a sales success and drove elite Democratic discourse (both for it and against it) for months. But the centrists who coalesced around Abundance haven\u2019t yet been able to take the next step and make a real contest for the future of the party.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Klein and Thompson are journalists, not factional political leaders. They never claimed to be offering a message that could best win elections or mobilize the public around them \u2014 instead, they were offering a manifesto for governing, and trying to persuade Democratic elites to follow their advice.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Because their prescriptions were largely practical policy ideas, they could also be taken up by leaders from any ideological camp, which made it harder for allied centrists to use \u201cabundance\u201d as shorthand to differentiate between groups of candidates. Left-aligned members of Congress like Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) were enthusiastic early backers as well as centrists like Rep. Jake Auchincloss (D-MA). Similarly, grassroots state and local \u201cYIMBY\u201d groups that favored Abundance-oriented ideas found themselves considering DSA and centrist candidates alike.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The upshot was that as the calendar moved into primary season, there was no wave of centrist primary challengers who could shake up the establishment, delivering \u201cwins\u201d for the movement and minting new charismatic stars akin to Mamdani. (Not that they necessarily could have pulled that off \u2014 the closest likeness to an \u201cAbundance-coded\u201d candidate in a major race was San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan, who ran for governor of California and finished with 3.5 percent in the primary.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cOur organization has been focused 100 percent on districts that Trump won. We\u2019ve been entirely about expanding the map,\u201d Kerr of WelcomePAC said. \u201cI think it\u2019s fair to go back and say, is that the way to build a stronger and more enduring Democratic Party?\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Part of the problem was that, on Democratic primary voters\u2019 main topic of interest \u2014 how to stop what they saw as Trump\u2019s outrageous and authoritarian actions \u2014 cautious centrists seemed to have less to offer.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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In an environment where the Democratic base was increasingly horrified about Trump\u2019s aggressive deployments of ICE in US cities, which led to the killings of two US citizens in Minneapolis, debates over what Democrats had been doing wrong felt less relevant and less morally urgent.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Opposition to Israel also proved to be an intensely motivating primary issue \u2014 but here, awkwardly for the centrists, it\u2019s the left who seem more in touch with the party\u2019s increasingly anti-Israel voters. And compared to \u201cabundance\u201d issues, voters and activists were able to use Israel debates to sort themselves into clearer establishment and anti-establishment factions: Candidates who were especially early and strident critics of Israel tended to be further left and far removed from party leadership; opponents backed by pro-Israel super PACs tended to be more moderate.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The result is that there\u2019s a real contest going on to shape the party\u2019s future, between the left and the establishment \u2014 but reformist centrists have, for now, dropped from contention.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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As for Abundance: as a policy agenda, its ideas continue to be quite relevant. Housing remains a major issue, both in Congress and especially in state and local politics. The need for abundant energy has only grown more intense, with AI sucking up gigawatts. The next Democratic president could well refer to the abundance playbook.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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But as an organizing project for centrist attempts to remake the party politically from within \u2014 it hasn\u2019t done the trick.<\/p>\n

Read more How the rich got stingy<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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See More:<\/span><\/p>\n
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  • Politics<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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